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Storm Tracker Forecast: Record heat possible again today but relief is ahead

The potential for record heat returns this afternoon, fire danger stays high, and air quality continues to be very impacted today. A modest cooling trend is ahead for this weekend, and then the potential for showers returns in your long range forecast.

Posted: Oct 2, 2020 6:26 AM

Get ready for another day of very hot temperatures and poor air quality across northern California. Fire danger will also stay elevated today due to the hot temperatures, very dry conditions, and gusty winds in areas around our active wildfires. Skies are clear of clouds again this morning, but smoke continues to blanket most of northern California early today. Air quality is mostly ranging from the unhealthy for sensitive groups to unhealthy range in the valley, but Redding is in the moderate to unhealthy for sensitive groups range. Most of the Sierra is also in the moderate to unhealthy for sensitive groups range this morning. Temperatures are starting out in the 50's to 60's in the valley, in the 60's to 70's in the foothills, and in the 30's to 50's in most mountain areas early today. Winds are still out of the northeast in the Sierra and foothills this morning, and out of the northwest in areas around the Zogg Fire. Gusts up to 40mph are possible early today in areas around the North Complex, while the Zogg Fire area is seeing gusts up to around 30mph. Winds will mostly be out of the northwest up to around 10 to 15mph today. Humidity is projected to dip into the 5 to 15 percent range for most of our region this afternoon, and that will make it very easy for new fires to start. High temperatures will continue to end up in the 9 to 20 degree above average range this afternoon, and Redding is projected to tie a record of 103 degrees that was set in 1951. Valley areas will range from around 94 to 103 degrees this afternoon, while foothill and mountain areas top out in the mid 80's to mid 90's. Fire danger will stay high due to the hot temperatures and very dry conditions.

High pressure will continue to be the main driving factor in our forecast on Saturday. Conditions will be very similar for your Saturday, but not quite as hot as Friday. Lighter winds will also allow for air quality to become more impacted, and the smoke will likely result in a bigger dip in high temperatures for the mid valley than other areas. Mid valley areas are expected to top out in the low to mid 90's on Saturday afternoon, while the northern end of the valley still has temperatures in the upper 90's to lower triple digits. Low pressure approaching the coast on Sunday will result in a stronger onshore flow, and a welcome dip in temperatures to our region. South winds to 10mph will be likely on Sunday, and most areas of the valley will dip back into the upper 80's to low 90's on Sunday afternoon. Mountain and foothill areas can expect high temperatures in the low to mid 80's on Sunday. We are expecting to see a little bump in temperatures as we head into the middle of next week, with valley locations topping out back in the upper 80's to mid 90's for Tuesday and Wednesday. Low pressure tracking towards the West Coast from the Pacific will then usher in a more substantial cooling trend by Thursday of next week, and the current projections knock us down into the average to below average range. Clouds will increase next week, and temperatures will stay below average. Long range models are currently in agreement that the low pressure tracking towards the West Coast will bring a good chance for showers back to our forecast next weekend, but this is still quite a ways off. We'll continue to track this weather pattern very closely and keep our fingers cross that the first rain of the season is finally on the horizon!

Chico
Partly Cloudy
82° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 57°
Feels Like: 80°
Oroville
Partly Cloudy
84° wxIcon
Hi: 85° Lo: 59°
Feels Like: 82°
Paradise
Partly Cloudy
82° wxIcon
Hi: 78° Lo: 61°
Feels Like: 80°
Chester
Clear
82° wxIcon
Hi: 76° Lo: 35°
Feels Like: 80°
Red Bluff
Clear
82° wxIcon
Hi: 81° Lo: 53°
Feels Like: 80°
Willows
Partly Cloudy
82° wxIcon
Hi: 82° Lo: 52°
Feels Like: 80°
The first weekend of autumn was pleasant for northern California, but our relatively tranquil weather will change soon. A Pacific storm is approaching the West Coast, and it will bring our area rain showers and gusty wind soon.
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