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Fire Weather Into Sunday, Rain Next Week

Poor air quality may improve with wind, but fire danger is also elevated yet again.

Posted: Nov 17, 2018 6:13 PM
Updated: Nov 17, 2018 7:22 PM

BUTTE COUNTY, Calif. - A Red Flag Warning is in effect across the Valley, and extending across the area of the Camp Fire.

We can expect areas of NNE winds up to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph.

Local gusts up to 45 mph over ridges and through favorably oriented canyons, especially the Feather River drainage including the Camp Fire.

Winds will gradually decrease by Sunday afternoon at 4p.m.

Minimum humidity will be 18-28% Sunday, with poor overnight recoveries of 30-45% tonight, locally down to around 20% in vicinity of the Camp Fire.

As the wildfires continue to burn across California, air quality alerts continue, especially because we have a lot of stagnant air right now, and looking to the Pacific Northwest it'll stay that way through mid week.

Conditions this morning fairly similar to 24 hours ago with similar temperatures, light winds and smoke in the valley.

We have a high pressure ridge now over the eastern Pacific keeping us dry through the weekend and early next week.

A weak trough dropping southward into the Great Basin will bring a slight cooling but the blanket of smoke out there is keeping temperatures pretty level.

Wildfire smoke will continue to be an issue reducing visibilities and keeping daytime highs artificially low.

As high pressure moves Southeast across the great Basin, expect breezy northeast winds tonight and Sunday.

Winds will be the strongest through the Sierra Canyons and over ridges and unfortunately over the Camp Fire in Butte county.

Some good news is that increased mixing from the winds may mix out the smoke in the valley a bit so daytime highs maybe higher and air a bit better.

Winds calm into Monday and we'll get some clouds from an an upper low off the Socal coast.

Here's the better news - we're still on track to expect a significant Pacific frontal system towards the coast on Tuesday.

Most areas will see cooler temperatures with increasing clouds and a shift to more onshore winds.

By Tuesday night, the forecast area could begin to see the beginning of a prolonged period of much needed precipitation.

Confidence is increasing that the first widespread precipitation event of the season will affect the region later next week.

A series of disturbances should move through NorCal Wednesday thru Friday as the upper trough moves onto the West Coast.

Next weekend we could see even more rain but this time likely to the North of the Camp Fire area, but the systems should be strong enough to remove the stagnant smoky airmass from the region.

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