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WHO clarifies comments on asymptomatic spread of coronavirus: 'There's much unknown'

The World Health Organization tried on Tuesday to clear up confusing comments about how often people can spread the...

Posted: Jun 9, 2020 12:05 PM
Updated: Jun 10, 2020 11:00 AM

The World Health Organization tried on Tuesday to clear up confusing comments about how often people can spread the coronavirus when they do not have symptoms.

The organization held a live Q&A on its social media pages to address questions about comments made by a WHO official that suggested asymptomatic people only rarely spread Covid-19.

The comments appeared to directly contradict guidance from public health organizations, including the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which have said about a third of coronavirus infections may be asymptomatic. The CDC also estimates that 40% of coronavirus transmission is occurring before people feel sick, meaning they are presymptomatic.

But it may boil down to how one defines 'asymptomatic.'

'There are so many unknowns'

Maria Van Kerkhove, WHO's technical lead for coronavirus response and head of its emerging diseases and zoonoses unit, said during a media briefing in Geneva on Monday that 'it still seems to be rare that an asymptomatic person actually transmits onward to a secondary individual.'

But then on Tuesday, during the live Q&A, she clarified 'this is a major unknown.'

'The majority of transmission that we know about is that people who have symptoms transmit the virus to other people through infectious droplets -- but there are a subset of people who don't develop symptoms, and to truly understand how many people don't have symptoms, we don't actually have that answered yet,' Van Kerkhove said.

'We do know that some people who are asymptomatic, or some people who don't have symptoms, can transmit the virus on,' she said. 'So what we need to better understand is how many of the people in the population don't have symptoms and separately how many of those individuals go on to transmit to others.'

On Monday, Van Kerkhove had said that what appear to be asymptomatic cases of Covid-19 often turn out to be cases of mild disease.

'When we actually go back and we say how many of them were truly asymptomatic, we find out that many have really mild disease,' Van Kerkhove said on Monday.

'They're not quote-unquote Covid symptoms -- meaning they may not have developed fever yet, they may not have had a significant cough, or they may not have shortness of breath -- but some may have mild disease,' Van Kerkhove said. 'Having said that, we do know that there can be people who are truly asymptomatic.'

Van Kerkhove added that she was referring to reports from WHO member states when she made her comments on Monday.

'What I was referring to yesterday in the press conference were very few studies -- some two or three studies that had been published that actually try to follow asymptomatic cases, so people who are infected, over time, and then look at all of their contacts and see how many additional people were infected,' Van Kerkhove said.

'And that's a very small subset of studies. So I was responding to a question at the press conference. I wasn't stating a policy of WHO or anything like that,' she said. 'Because this is a major unknown, because there are so many unknowns around this, some modeling groups have tried to estimate what is the proportion of asymptomatic people that may transmit.'

On Wednesday, the day after WHO's live Q&A, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the top infectious diseases expert in the United States, weighed in on Van Kerkhove's original comments. He said it 'was not correct' to describe asymptomatic spread of the coronavirus as rare.

Evidence shows that 25% to 45% of infected people likely don't have symptoms, Fauci told ABC's 'Good Morning America' on Wednesday morning.

'And we know from epidemiological studies they can transmit to someone who is uninfected even when they're without symptoms,' said Fauci, the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

'So to make a statement to say that's a rare event was not correct.'

And while the public might use the word 'asymptomatic' to describe any infected person who doesn't have symptoms, the bigger concern may be infection from 'pre-symptomatic' carriers.

How the virus spreads

Dr. Mike Ryan, executive director of the WHO Health Emergencies Program, also said during Tuesday's live Q&A that there is still much to learn about the possible asymptomatic spread of the coronavirus.

'Whatever proportion of disease is transmitting from asymptomatic individuals, as Maria said, that is unknown,' Ryan said.

'I'm absolutely convinced that that is occurring. The question is how much,' he said. 'There's much to be answered on this. There's much that is unknown.'

'Trying to slice the salami very fine'

Whether someone is presymptomatic or or simply experiencing very mild symptoms is not of importance to the person on the receiving end of the transmission, said Dr. William Schaffner, a Vanderbilt University professor and longtime adviser to the CDC.

'I thought they were getting very prissy and trying to slice the salami very fine,' Schaffner said about WHO's comments on Monday on asymptomatic spread.

'You can be vertical and feel 100% or virtually 100% and going about your daily business and unaware that you're infected and perfectly capable transmitting the virus,' Schaffner said. 'How do we inhibit transmission of the virus by these people who are doing their full range of normal activities? The answer is social distancing and wearing masks and good hand hygiene and stay away from crowds. That's the formula.'

Liam Smeeth, professor of clinical epidemiology at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said that he was 'quite surprised' by Van Kerkhove's original comments.

'It goes against my impressions from the science so far that suggest asymptomatic (people who never get symptoms) and pre-symptomatic people are an important source of infection to others,' Smeeth said In a written statement distributed by the UK-based Science Media Centre on Tuesday.

'This is the main basis for steps such as self-isolation and lockdown -- steps we know, from yesterday's two Nature papers have massively reduced the numbers of people infected and have prevented millions of deaths globally,' he said. He was referring to research that estimates shutdown measures through early April prevented more than 500 million coronavirus infections across six countries.

'There remains scientific uncertainty, but asymptomatic infection could be around 30% to 50% of cases,' Smeeth said. 'The best scientific studies to date suggest that up to half of cases became infected from asymptomatic or pre-symptomatic people.'

California Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 554388

Reported Deaths: 10307
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Los Angeles2067784967
Riverside40452799
Orange39076720
San Bernardino35452502
San Diego31779586
Kern22626171
Fresno17031171
Alameda13213208
San Joaquin12303211
Santa Clara11475203
Sacramento10795161
Tulare10475196
Imperial9693244
Stanislaus9566161
Contra Costa9022138
Ventura814689
San Francisco743267
Santa Barbara670469
San Mateo6110120
Marin528779
Monterey521235
Merced501264
Kings445356
Solano402940
Sonoma343147
Madera230239
Placer218620
San Luis Obispo209315
Yolo169043
Santa Cruz12386
Butte10958
Napa104610
Sutter9217
El Dorado7291
San Benito7094
Lassen6380
Yuba5884
Shasta41810
Mendocino38010
Colusa3624
Glenn3603
Nevada3221
Humboldt2824
Tehama2761
Lake2202
Amador1642
Mono1531
Tuolumne1522
Calaveras1471
Del Norte990
Siskiyou930
Inyo643
Mariposa602
Plumas340
Modoc50
Trinity50
Sierra30
Alpine20
Unassigned00
Chico
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Willows
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After a couple days of comfortably cooler than average weather around northern California, highs rose rapidly to more seasonable levels this afternoon. The warming trend will continue through the weekend, too.
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