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Chinese paramilitary members are gathered near Hong Kong border

Chair of Hong Kong Democratic Party's Foreign Affairs Committee, Emily Lau, tells Becky Anderson that if China makes a mistake, Hong Kong will have a lot to pay.

Posted: Aug 14, 2019 5:50 PM
Updated: Aug 14, 2019 5:50 PM

As protests continue to sweep through Hong Kong, large numbers of China's paramilitary force are just miles away from Hong Kong's border with mainland China, according to a CNN team on the ground in Shenzhen.

CNN saw uniformed members of the People's Armed Police Force (PAP) with riot shields and batons at the Shenzhen Bay Sports Center.

The PAP is the 1.5 million-member paramilitary force the government regularly deploys to quell protests within its borders. It is under the command of China's central military commission, headed by Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Their presence just across the bay from Hong Kong comes amid speculation that Chinese forces could enter Hong Kong and quash the protests, which are in their third month.

But there has been no indication that the PAP are set to do that, and such an intervention could have devastating effects on the territory's economy.

Satellite images of the sports center, located just across the harbor from Hong Kong, purport to show vehicles gathering at the center. On the ground Wednesday, CNN saw dozens of troop carriers and at least one armored personnel carrier.

A PAP officer told CNN the forces had just arrived for a temporary assignment, staying at the sports stadium where they were filmed by CNN. The officer did not explain why the troops were stationed there.

Propaganda

On Wednesday, a US official with direct knowledge of the latest assessment on Hong Kong told CNN that the US does not see forces 'streaming to the border' between China and Hong Kong.

But the official added that the situation could quickly change as the forces are mobile, noting that China does have the capability to put significant forces into Hong Kong "within several hours."

The official said the forces on the Shenzhen side are largely, if not all, PAP. In recent months, as the crisis has built up, the PAP has "increased readiness levels," as well as making public shows of forces with anti-riot training.

Earlier this week, Chinese state media circulated videos purporting to show an increased military presence in the city of Shenzhen.

On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump tweeted that the US had seen Chinese troop buildups near the border, though it's unclear whether he was referring to the PAP.

Experts say such an incursion would have disastrous effects for Hong Kong: It could hurt Hong Kong's status as an Asian financial hub; lead to a mass exodus of people; trigger a stern international response; and ultimately mean a failure of the "one country, two systems" policy.

Given the city's close ties to mainland China, any intervention of force would risk ricocheting through the entire country at a time when the world's second biggest economy is already vulnerable because of the trade war with the United States.

Flashpoints

Hong Kong's protest movement started in early June in opposition to an extradition bill, which critics feared could be used to target dissidents for prosecution in mainland China. The bill has since been shelved, but the uproar stoked a wider civil unrest that shows no sign of ending.

Tuesday saw several flashpoints, as protesters overran airport security, using luggage carts to set up barricades in front of security checkpoints and blocking passengers from accessing their flights.

Chinese government authorities strongly condemned the protesters on Wednesday, describing their actions as having "broken the bottom line of the law, morality and humanity."

China has adopted a more strident tone in recent weeks, focusing on violence committed by a smaller faction of protestors and framing the movement as one of radical separatists being controlled by foreign "black hands."

But the protesters by and large are young, angry and leaderless. They complain that the government has continued to ignore their five demands, which include calls for universal suffrage and investigations into alleged police brutality and misconduct.

Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam has repeatedly apologized for her government's botched handling of the extradition bill that initially sparked the protest, and has vowed to do a better job of listening. But she said the political issues will only be dealt with after law and order resumes.

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