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Inside Politics: The Blue Wave You Haven't Heard About

A potential blue wave in the states, a big job for President Trump to fill, President Trump may not get his border wall, and more evidence that this is the year of the women in politics. It's all in this week's Inside Politics forecast.

Posted: Sep 17, 2018 7:44 AM
Updated: Sep 17, 2018 8:19 AM

Here are the stories our panel of top political reporters are talking about in this week's "Inside Politics" forecast, where you get a glimpse of tomorrow's headlines today.

1. The other blue wave

A blue wave in November is looking more and more likely -- and not just in Washington.

Democrats are poised for big gains in state houses across the country too, says Lisa Lerer of The New York Times. That means the party could win outright control of the state senate in places like Colorado, New York, and Wisconsin.

"There's about half a dozen that are one or two or three seats away from flipping," Lerer said. "This is a trend that could have some really big implications. State legislatures control a lot of issues, from health to labor to education. And with the Census coming up, they'll have a big role in redistricting."

2. Who wants to be a White House counsel?

President Trump has a big personnel decision to make this fall about who will be his top White House lawyer.

The man filling the job right now, Don McGahn, plans to leave the administration once the Kavanaugh confirmation fight is over. It's a job that will be particularly important if Democrats win control of the House.

"The person who fills that job will be responsible for handling not only a spate of congressional investigations into the Trump White House, but also potential impeachment proceedings," Politico's Eliana Johnson said. "The person Donald Trump selects to fill that job will have an enormous impact on the way the Trump White House handles quite a bit in Washington."

3. Border wall or bust?

There's a bipartisan deal in Congress to avoid a government shutdown, at least for now. Lawmakers plan to pass a spending bill that funds the government through December.

But that still leaves one big question unanswered: Will President Trump force a shutdown before the holidays if he doesn't get his border wall?

"Does he get the entire $5 billion that he wants?" asked Washington Post reporter Seung Min King. She said Republicans like Sen. Jeff Flake tell her it's unlikely.

"He says even if Republicans do well in the midterms, Trump is still not going to get his wall because there is so much opposition, even among Republicans," Kim said. "And as we all know, the president hasn't ruled out a shutdown over the wall just yet."

4. Trump escalates trade war

President Trump plans to move forward this week with a major step in his trade war with China: slapping tariffs on $200 billion worth of goods. The president says it'll push China to the negotiating table, but critics say it just means higher prices for American consumers.

"There's mounting concerns from major U.S. companies and retailers," Bloomberg's Margaret Talev said -- including Apple, Walmart and Target. And if China retaliates, Talev said, it'll likely mean pain for American farmers -- right before the midterms.

5. Year of the woman

And from CNN's John King:

The final test is seven weeks from Tuesday, but the close of the primary season erases any doubt that 2018 will be a record-setting year for women in American politics.

The Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University keeps a meticulous count of women who run for office -- and how they fare. With the final primary elections in the books after this past week, the center's count shows a record number of women on the November ballot in races for House, Senate, governor and state legislatures.

There are, for example, 234 women running for the House and 22 for the Senate. The previous records were 167 (House) and 18 (Senate).

There are 16 women on the ballot in November in races for governor -- 12 Democrats and four Republicans. The previous record was 10.

A summary of the 2018 track record so far can be found here.

And the record breaking began before the voting did.

Fifty-three women ran for Senate seats this year, up from the previous high of 40. There were 476 women who filed for House races; 298 was the previous high. And 61 women ran for governor in 2018, way up for the previous high of 34.

California Coronavirus Cases

Data is updated nightly.

Confirmed Cases: 94020

Reported Deaths: 3754
CountyConfirmedDeaths
Los Angeles450172106
San Diego6559249
Riverside6464290
Orange5336131
San Bernardino4365176
Alameda284793
Santa Clara2617139
San Francisco236740
San Mateo183376
Kern182429
Tulare164175
Santa Barbara155112
Fresno144822
Contra Costa132136
Sacramento129356
Imperial114523
Ventura91230
San Joaquin75233
Stanislaus62928
Kings5172
Sonoma4824
Solano45520
Monterey3958
Marin38814
San Luis Obispo2581
Merced2516
Santa Cruz1922
Yolo19022
Placer1849
Napa1013
Humboldt932
Madera842
El Dorado740
San Benito702
Nevada411
Sutter402
Shasta364
Butte340
Mono341
Yuba281
Del Norte230
Mendocino210
Inyo191
Mariposa151
Calaveras130
Lake120
Glenn120
Amador100
Siskiyou61
Colusa50
Plumas40
Tuolumne30
Tehama31
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Lassen20
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